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  "schema": "https://mosthofaimran.com/schema/papers/1",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "note": "If you quote a claim, carry its confidence value with it. A 0.60 claim repeated as fact is no longer the author’s claim.",
  "count": 14,
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    {
      "section": "5.1",
      "slug": "competence-porn",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-competence-porn-03",
      "title": "Competence Porn",
      "summary": "Watching a skilled person work occupies the same reward slot as being one, and the industry has industrialised the confusion.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/competence-porn/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/competence-porn.md",
      "state": "holding",
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "published": "2025-09-03",
      "revised": "2026-06-11",
      "expires": "2026-12-13",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [
        "A longitudinal study showing heavy consumers of technical content outperform matched peers on blind, time-boxed debugging tasks.",
        "Evidence the effect is generational rather than structural, appearing at equal rate in cohorts who entered the field before ranked feeds existed.",
        "A large publisher of technical content disclosing what fraction of the architectures it demonstrated reached production and survived twelve months, where that fraction is high."
      ],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.2",
      "slug": "vibe-coding",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-vibe-coding-00",
      "title": "Vibe Coding and the IKEA Effect",
      "summary": "Assembly feels like understanding. It is not the same feeling twice.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/vibe-coding/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/vibe-coding.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-05-02",
      "expires": "2026-11-03",
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      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.3",
      "slug": "algorithmic-homophily",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-algorithmic-homophily-00",
      "title": "Algorithmic Homophily",
      "summary": "Your timeline is a cache with no invalidation policy. It returns the priors you arrived with, warmed.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/algorithmic-homophily/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/algorithmic-homophily.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-08-02",
      "expires": "2027-02-03",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.4",
      "slug": "easy-button-tax",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-easy-button-tax-00",
      "title": "The Easy Button Tax",
      "summary": "Removed friction is relocated friction, and the invoice arrives during the incident.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/easy-button-tax/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/easy-button-tax.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-04-20",
      "expires": "2026-10-22",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.5",
      "slug": "on-prem",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-on-prem-00",
      "title": "On-Premise Is Not a Downgrade",
      "summary": "Sovereignty as an architectural constraint, not a punishment.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/on-prem/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/on-prem.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.9,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-03-19",
      "expires": "2026-09-20",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.6",
      "slug": "retry-storm",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-retry-storm-00",
      "title": "The Retry Storm You Built On Purpose",
      "summary": "Backoff without jitter synchronises your clients into a distributed metronome.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/retry-storm/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/retry-storm.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-07-28",
      "expires": "2027-01-29",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.7",
      "slug": "chestertons-fence",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-chestertons-fence-00",
      "title": "Chesterton's Fence Has a Git Blame",
      "summary": "Read the commit message before you delete the guard clause.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/chestertons-fence/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/chestertons-fence.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-02-14",
      "expires": "2026-08-18",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.8",
      "slug": "rag-search",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-rag-search-00",
      "title": "RAG Is a Search Problem in a Trench Coat",
      "summary": "The chunking strategy is doing more work than the embedding model.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/rag-search/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/rag-search.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-01-30",
      "expires": "2026-08-03",
      "expired": true,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.9",
      "slug": "ship-of-theseus",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-ship-of-theseus-00",
      "title": "The Ship of Theseus Passes Its Integration Tests",
      "summary": "Strangler-fig migrations, and the moment nobody can name when the new system became itself.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/ship-of-theseus/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/ship-of-theseus.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2026-08-09",
      "expires": "2027-02-10",
      "expired": false,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.10",
      "slug": "vector-db-fad",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-vector-db-fad-00",
      "title": "Vector Databases Are a Fad",
      "summary": "Withdrawn in full. See errata 7.2.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/vector-db-fad/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/vector-db-fad.md",
      "state": "retracted",
      "confidence": null,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2025-11-14",
      "expires": "2026-05-18",
      "expired": true,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": {
        "date": "2025-11-14T00:00:00.000Z",
        "reason": "The central claim failed. Retrieval quality at scale turned out to depend on index properties the author had dismissed, and the operational story matured faster than predicted.",
        "erratum": "7.2"
      }
    },
    {
      "section": "5.11",
      "slug": "postmortem-owes-you",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-postmortem-owes-you-00",
      "title": "What a Postmortem Owes You",
      "summary": "A document that names no decision is a weather report.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/postmortem-owes-you/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/postmortem-owes-you.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.9,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2025-12-02",
      "expires": "2026-06-05",
      "expired": true,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.12",
      "slug": "service-boundaries-org-chart",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-service-boundaries-org-chart-00",
      "title": "Your Service Boundaries Are an Org Chart",
      "summary": "Conway's law, observed in the wild across three reorganisations.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/service-boundaries-org-chart/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/service-boundaries-org-chart.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2025-09-18",
      "expires": "2026-03-22",
      "expired": true,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.13",
      "slug": "dashboard-nobody-opens",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-dashboard-nobody-opens-00",
      "title": "The Dashboard Nobody Opens",
      "summary": "On observability that measures the system's health rather than the operator's question.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/dashboard-nobody-opens/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/dashboard-nobody-opens.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2025-06-05",
      "expires": "2025-12-07",
      "expired": true,
      "retires": [],
      "retraction": null
    },
    {
      "section": "5.14",
      "slug": "kubernetes-for-a-bicycle",
      "identifier": "draft-imran-kubernetes-for-a-bicycle-00",
      "title": "Kubernetes for a Bicycle",
      "summary": "On matching operational weight to actual load, written after I got this wrong twice.",
      "url": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/kubernetes-for-a-bicycle/",
      "markdown": "https://mosthofaimran.com/papers/kubernetes-for-a-bicycle.md",
      "state": "unwritten",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "published": null,
      "revised": "2025-03-11",
      "expires": "2025-09-12",
      "expired": true,
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      "retraction": null
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  ]
}